After years of soaring valuations across the startup scene, venture firms like M25 are observing a shift to more risk-averse investors and stricter examinations of even the most-exciting company’s worth, said Abhinaya Konduru.
“We’re seeing a new normal,” said Konduru, a principal on the influential Chicago-based M25 team and a panelist at Thursday’s MidxMidwest event in Kansas City. “In the Midwest, we’ve always been cautious. Now, it feels like the broader market is starting to follow suit.”
This recalibration, she noted, could pave the way for sustainable growth — but it also presents new hurdles.
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Phil Reynolds, founder of program and portfolio management software platform DevStride and a fellow MidxMidwest panelist, emphasized how lower valuations impact early-stage startups that haven’t yet gotten a needed jump start.
“Those high valuations from 2019 to 2021 just weren’t going to last,” he agreed, “but now, some of that capital scarcity could slow down early innovation unless we find a balance.”
Economic shifts and market recalibration are revealing a new world for those seeking and deploying capital, said Maggie Kenefake, a key organizer of the MidxMidwest conference — a gathering that aims to connect investors and founders for conversation, collaboration, and potential dealflow.
“Everyone here is feeling a changing landscape,” said Kenefake, kicking off a discussion with panelists that spanned topics from tech trends to the Midwest’s distinct opportunities for growth.
Overhyped: Into the metaverse and beyond
Chris Greco, former CEO of Storewise, expressed skepticism about the hype around supposed-marvels in tech like the metaverse — virtual worlds in which humans interact via computer-generated avatars.
“Post-pandemic, people are craving in-person connections again,” he said. “The metaverse just isn’t captivating people in the way it was predicted to.”
On artificial intelligence, panelist Taylor Clauson, founder of Abstraction Capital, took a balanced view.
“Technology doesn’t usually replace jobs outright — it reshapes them,” he said, acknowledging AI’s transformative potential.
Clauson projected that AI would advance industries without creating the workforce disruptions many people fear.
“AI is likely to enhance roles rather than eliminate them,” he added.
Geopolitics and cross-border investments
Rising geopolitical tensions also came into focus during MidxMidwest, with panelists discussing how shifts on an international scale impact tech and trade.
“The world is becoming more siloed,” said Chris Dornfeld, founder of St. Louis-based Whistle.
He observed that regions like North America and Europe are increasingly pulling back into more insulated tech ecosystems to protect national interests.
“Geopolitical risks are no longer a side issue,” Dornfeld emphasized. “They’re central to investment decisions.”
Greco expanded on these thoughts, sharing that political changes ahead for the U.S. could affect cross-border collaborations and regulations, especially in areas like semiconductors.
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“Investors are going to have to think harder about sector and geography together,” Greco said. “We can’t just assume global interdependency is the default anymore.”
Sectors to watch in 2025
Despite challenges on the horizon, promising factors are emerging, panelists said.
Reynolds highlighted potential within cybersecurity and enterprise tech, seeing the industries as critical alongside growing data protection demands.
“With so much sensitive data at risk, there’s an urgent need for stronger cybersecurity,” Reynolds said.
Clauson pointed to regulatory tech as another area with opportunity at hand. Evolving privacy laws create demand for compliance solutions, he noted.
“It’s no longer just about innovation — it’s about keeping up with legal frameworks,” Clauson said.
Dornfeld noted that construction and industrial tech also are poised for growth, driven by U.S. infrastructure investments.
“We’re in a time where we need to work smarter in how we build and maintain infrastructure,” he said. “This is where industrial tech can thrive.”
Wrapping the event’s midday programming Thursday, MidxMidwest featured a fireside chat between conference organizer Dan Kerr of Flyover Capital and Jason Sinnarajah, COO of the Kansas City Royals.
Sinnarajah emphasized the Midwest’s potential to create a resilient tech ecosystem by leveraging its strengths, staying aligned with global trends, and keeping true to regional values.